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Gachagua’s party chases UDA and ODM in popularity - Survey

The numbers reflect a political landscape in flux less than two years before the 2027 General Election.

Former Deputy President Rigathi Gachagua’s Democracy for Citizens Party (DCP) has overtaken former ruling parties Jubilee and KANU in the latest Infotrak survey released on Sunday, December 28, 2025, signalling an emerging shift in Kenya’s political alignments. 

The poll places DCP at 6pc, ahead of Jubilee (5pc) and several older parties in the party affinity rankings, even as the United Democratic Alliance (UDA) and Orange Democratic Movement (ODM) continue to dominate at 23 percent and 19 percent, respectively. 

The numbers reflect a political landscape in flux less than two years before the 2027 General Election, with newer formations like DCP gaining ground against legacy parties that once wielded significant influence.

Mr Gachagua recently celebrated party victories in by-elections in November, highlighting growing momentum.

On his verified social media X account, he wrote: “On behalf of the DCP Party and our members, I offer hearty congratulations to Douglas Masikonde, David Warui, and Dickson Okwiri Aduda for winning the Narok Township, Kariobangi North, and Kisa East wards respectively… Our party, making the newest kid in the Block, which is seven months old whitewashed old parties some old as 20 years.” 

The rise of DCP--especially in front of parties with decades of history--reflects both voter volatility and a quest for alternative political voices at the national level.

The Infotrak poll, conducted between December 19 and December 20, 2025, with a nationally representative sample of 1,000 respondents from all 47 counties, also showed Mr Gachagua’s United Opposition partner Kalonzo Musyoka’s Wiper Patriotic Front following closely with (4pc) popularity.

The survey shows a cluster of minor parties polled below the mid-single digits.

A notable portion of respondents said they either do not identify with a party or preferred not to disclose their political affiliation, underscoring public fluidity in party loyalty. 

At the same time, older powerhouses such as Jubilee, Democratic Party, and KANU, once central to Kenya’s political order, have trailed in the poll’s party affinity question, prompting questions about their future relevance unless they re-energise their base.

Although Jubilee Party scored 5pc, another former ruling party KANU managed a 1pc ranking, in the same category as small parties like Chama Cha Mashinani (CCM), Maendeleo Chap Chap Party, FORD-Kenya, NARC, and Thirdway Alliance Kenya.

In fact according to the survey, respondents who were asked which political party they currently feel closest to, did not mention DP even among the parties categorised as others.

DP is the party President Mwai Kibaki (Kenya's third president) used to join other parties that formed National Rainbow Coalition that ruled between 2002 and 2007.

Party of National Unity (PNU) that President Kibaki used for 2007 re-election appears among the eight political parties that respondents recognised as ‘others’.

As Kenya prepares for the 2027 polls, the ascent of newer parties like DCP may well reshape the contours of electoral competition, especially if these early indicators translate into broader momentum in the months ahead.

DCP grows
Infotrak poll places DCP at 6pc, ahead of Jubilee (5pc) and several older parties in the party affinity rankings. Photo/Courtesy